Wake Forest
Demon Deacons
77
–
82
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
New York Life ACC
Boston College
Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | WAKE -650 BC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | WAKE -10.2 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -7.8 (-12.8) | 143.3 (+15.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -7.0 (-12.0) | 141.5 (+17.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -9.1 (-14.1) | 143.7 (+15.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -8.9 (-13.9) | 144.9 (+14.1) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BC 68 – 67 WAKE |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WAKE 72 – 66 BC |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WAKE 84 – 78 BC |
| Mar 1, 2023 | BC 71 – 69 WAKE |
| Jan 15, 2023 | WAKE 85 – 63 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 18-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#27) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#45) | -0.14 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#47) | 0.12 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#75) | 0.458 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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