Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -6.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -5.6 (-14.6) | 149.9 (-6.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -6.5 (-15.5) | 148.7 (-5.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -6.3 (-15.3) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -6.0 (-15.0) | 148.8 (-5.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SDSU 64 – 62 UNM |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNM 81 – 76 SDSU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SDSU 83 – 79 UNM |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SDSU 73 – 65 UNM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNM 62 – 48 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#26) | 9.8 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#27) | 2.05 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#25) | 2.44 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#9) | 0.590 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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