Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -245 UNM +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -1.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -2.3 (+1.7) | 145.5 (+16.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -2.0 (+2.0) | 144.1 (+17.9) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -2.1 (+1.9) | 142.2 (+19.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -2.5 (+1.5) | 142.4 (+19.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SDSU 64 – 62 UNM |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNM 81 – 76 SDSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SDSU 73 – 65 UNM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNM 62 – 48 SDSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | UNM 68 – 61 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 17-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#55) | 12.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#45) | 2.39 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.01 (#38) | 2.96 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#35) | 0.607 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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