Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +40 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -16.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -14.4 (+25.6) | 160.4 (+29.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.5 (+24.5) | 158.9 (+31.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -13.4 (+26.6) | 159.5 (+30.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -14.9 (+25.1) | 160.1 (+29.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 5-11 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-2 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 9-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.2 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 13.4 (#16) | 0.9 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#5) | -0.11 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#5) | -0.02 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#3) | 0.483 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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