And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–6 on winners spread MAE 7.7 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cornell @ Columbia -12.3 155.0 14% 102–85 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +13.9 142.0 88% 73–77 ✓
Hofstra @ Towson +1.3 137.1 54% 47–68 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +8.1 132.6 80% 60–59 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ La Salle +0.2 145.5 48% 71–59 ✗
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +2.9 148.9 67% 51–54 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State -2.5 131.4 37% 64–63 ✓
UTEP @ Charlotte +7.8 127.5 77% 60–58 ✗
George Washington @ George Mason +7.5 141.2 79% 78–75 ✗
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M +3.2 144.6 62% 69–61 ✗
William & Mary @ Charleston +14.7 144.2 88% 54–82 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Florida A&M +2.0 125.9 62% 59–60 ✓
Brown @ Yale +9.9 129.9 85% 78–81 ✓
Hartford @ UMBC +16.7 143.9 90% 62–87 ✓
Illinois @ Minnesota -10.6 136.4 18% 78–60 ✓
Delaware @ Northeastern -0.1 137.0 52% 58–59 ✗
UC Davis @ UC San Diego -4.6 137.6 28% 78–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.