Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +2 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -11.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -10.4 (-12.4) | 129.1 (-11.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -7.8 (-9.8) | 127.5 (-9.5) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -9.1 (-11.1) | 130.9 (-12.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -9.9 (-11.9) | 130.0 (-12.0) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | CLT 62 – 53 UTEP |
| Jan 14, 2022 | CLT 66 – 53 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UTEP 77 – 62 CLT |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UTEP 70 – 47 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#88) | -1.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#99) | -0.30 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#98) | -0.29 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#103) | 0.473 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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