Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP -154 CLT +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +9 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -1.2 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -1.8 (-7.2) | 128.3 (-13.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.0 (-8.0) | 126.3 (-11.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -1.4 (-7.6) | 129.4 (-14.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -0.9 (-8.1) | 127.9 (-12.9) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2023 | UTEP 60 – 58 CLT |
| Jan 14, 2022 | CLT 66 – 53 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UTEP 77 – 62 CLT |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UTEP 70 – 47 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 62.6 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#181) | 4.2 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#174) | 0.37 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#185) | 0.53 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#184) | 0.500 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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