Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -170 UTEP +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -3.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -1.8 (+11.2) | 141.1 (-22.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -1.2 (+11.8) | 138.4 (-19.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -2.9 (+10.1) | 141.8 (-22.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -2.3 (+10.7) | 142.5 (-23.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2023 | CLT 62 – 53 UTEP |
| Jan 16, 2023 | UTEP 60 – 58 CLT |
| Feb 28, 2021 | UTEP 77 – 62 CLT |
| Feb 27, 2021 | UTEP 70 – 47 CLT |
Game Analysis
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