Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -12.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -9.8 (-10.8) | 133.4 (-14.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -8.1 (-9.1) | 132.6 (-13.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -9.4 (-10.4) | 131.8 (-12.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -9.9 (-10.9) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HARV 71 – 58 DART |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DART 76 – 68 HARV |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HARV 66 – 58 DART |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DART 76 – 56 HARV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | DART 76 – 69 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 5-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#140) | -6.9 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#158) | -1.53 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#179) | -2.12 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.426 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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