Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UCSD +140 UCD -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -4.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -4.0 (-4.0) | 138.6 (+9.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -4.6 (-3.4) | 137.6 (+10.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -3.6 (-4.4) | 137.5 (+10.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -3.9 (-4.1) | 138.1 (+9.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UCSD 68 – 51 UCD |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 74 UCD |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCSD 68 – 57 UCD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 60 UCD |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCD 70 – 63 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-8 |
| Home | 4-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#290) | 1.3 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#278) | 0.00 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#287) | 0.17 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#248) | 0.507 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.