Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -250 UCD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -8.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -7.6 (-14.6) | 138.1 (-5.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -6.2 (-13.2) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -7.7 (-14.7) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -7.5 (-14.5) | 140.4 (-7.4) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UCSD 68 – 51 UCD |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 74 UCD |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UCSD 68 – 57 UCD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 60 UCD |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 59 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#107) | -1.2 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#124) | -0.08 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#126) | -0.31 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#127) | 0.490 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.