Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCD +600 UCSD -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -14.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -16.0 (+5.0) | 135.1 (-10.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -13.7 (+2.7) | 135.7 (-10.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -14.3 (+3.3) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -15.5 (+4.5) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UCSD 68 – 51 UCD |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 74 UCD |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 60 UCD |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCD 70 – 63 UCSD |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UCSD 92 – 59 UCD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCD | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 18-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-10 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#240) | 12.9 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#176) | 2.37 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#201) | 2.51 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#183) | 0.580 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCD | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.