Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -400 BRWN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +3 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -13.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -10.7 (-7.7) | 134.0 (+25.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -9.9 (-6.9) | 129.9 (+29.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -10.7 (-7.7) | 134.4 (+24.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -11.3 (-8.3) | 134.4 (+24.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#77) | -2.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#141) | -0.45 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#121) | -0.74 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.476 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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