Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +340 YALE -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +17 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -9.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -8.0 (-9.0) | 143.4 (-20.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -8.0 (-9.0) | 143.1 (-20.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -9.3 (-7.7) | 143.2 (-20.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -8.6 (-8.4) | 141.4 (-18.4) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRWN 84 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#247) | 8.1 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#306) | 2.16 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#314) | 2.57 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#333) | 0.603 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 43.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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