Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -800 BRWN +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -13.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.8 (-14.8) | 140.7 (+24.3) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -11.1 (-14.1) | 137.9 (+27.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.9 (-14.9) | 140.6 (+24.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -12.4 (-15.4) | 141.5 (+23.5) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#85) | -3.2 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#70) | -0.65 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#73) | -0.74 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#20) | 0.475 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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