Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -333 BRWN +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -8.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -7.5 (-6.5) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -7.2 (-6.2) | 136.8 (-13.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -7.7 (-6.7) | 140.6 (-17.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -7.2 (-6.2) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRWN 84 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#87) | -1.8 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#79) | -0.24 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#76) | -0.28 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#23) | 0.487 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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