Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BRWN +340 YALE -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +9 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -8.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -6.8 (-2.2) | 146.1 (-15.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -7.5 (-1.5) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -5.8 (-3.2) | 145.3 (-14.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -5.6 (-3.4) | 146.6 (-15.6) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | YALE 79 – 58 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRWN 84 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 13-1 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-0 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#217) | 8.5 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#201) | 0.97 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#204) | 1.19 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#189) | 0.579 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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