Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -550 BRWN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +21 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -13.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.6 (+9.4) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -12.0 (+9.0) | 144.3 (-7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -11.4 (+9.6) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -11.7 (+9.3) | 144.5 (-7.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | YALE 81 – 69 BRWN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | YALE 70 – 53 BRWN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | YALE 70 – 61 BRWN |
| Mar 17, 2024 | YALE 62 – 61 BRWN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRWN 84 – 81 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#75) | -2.4 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#163) | 0.01 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | 0.01 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#120) | 0.494 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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