I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Columbia Lions
85 – 102
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Levien Gymnasium · January 16, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread COR -12.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLU win
Actual COR +17 187 Lost
Massey COR -13.5 (-3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 148.4 (+38.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COR -12.8 (-4.2) 147.7 (+39.3) 13% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COR -12.3 (-4.7) 155.0 (+32.0) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COR -13.2 (-3.8) 148.0 (+39.0) 13% ✓
Baseline ML COR -13.2 (-3.8) 148.6 (+38.4) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COR 88 – 67 COLU
Jan 5, 2026 COLU 104 – 99 COR
Mar 8, 2025 COR 100 – 81 COLU
Jan 11, 2025 COR 94 – 83 COLU
Mar 9, 2024 COR 98 – 76 COLU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLU COR
Overall 7-22 17-11
Conference 2-12 7-7
Home 6-9 11-2
Away 1-13 6-8
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.3 80.4
Avg Pts Against 77.3 77.3
Massey -12.1 (#346) 5.3 (#95)
Bradley-Terry -1.97 (#337) 0.96 (#93)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.45 (#337) 1.34 (#86)
RPI 0.401 (#333) 0.548 (#97)
Shooting & Four Factors COLU COR
FG% 37.0% 47.8%
3PT% 28.6% 36.1%
REB / G 34.8 33.6
OREB / G 10.3 10.3
AST / TO 0.67 1.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.6% 56.5%
TOV% 20.9% 16.2%
ORB% 26.6% 29.8%
FT Rate 21.1% 17.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 54.1%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 22.0%
DRB% 67.6% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 15.8% 17.8%

Game Analysis

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