Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -13.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -11.1 (-7.1) | 145.2 (+4.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -13.9 (-9.9) | 142.0 (+8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -11.5 (-7.5) | 145.1 (+4.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -11.5 (-7.5) | 143.9 (+6.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | GTWN 78 – 64 VILL |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VILL 80 – 73 GTWN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | VILL 66 – 51 GTWN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | GTWN 75 – 73 VILL |
| Jan 20, 2025 | GTWN 64 – 63 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-12 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#90) | -4.3 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#131) | -0.84 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#112) | -0.96 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#144) | 0.461 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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