Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -440 GTWN +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +15 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -13.7 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -11.7 (+3.3) | 143.1 (-26.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -12.1 (+2.9) | 142.7 (-25.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -12.2 (+2.8) | 143.6 (-26.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -11.6 (+3.4) | 143.6 (-26.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | GTWN 78 – 64 VILL |
| Feb 7, 2026 | VILL 80 – 73 GTWN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | GTWN 75 – 73 VILL |
| Jan 20, 2025 | GTWN 64 – 63 VILL |
| Feb 27, 2024 | VILL 75 – 47 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#35) | 3.6 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#29) | 0.61 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.60 (#24) | 1.08 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#27) | 0.505 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.