Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -13.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -11.3 (+2.7) | 137.1 (-15.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -11.7 (+2.3) | 135.4 (-13.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -10.7 (+3.3) | 138.0 (-16.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -11.3 (+2.7) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UCLA 73 – 61 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 13-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#5) | 9.9 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#12) | 0.92 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#13) | 1.51 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#10) | 0.559 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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