Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -5.6 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.7 (-3.3) | 139.4 (-3.4) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.5 (-2.5) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.0 (-3.0) | 141.3 (-5.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.2 (-2.8) | 142.4 (-6.4) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UCLA 73 – 61 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#92) | 14.9 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#70) | 2.90 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#69) | 3.92 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#72) | 0.609 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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