Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | UCLA -900 COLO +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -17.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -12.6 (-0.6) | 149.6 (-15.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -11.9 (+0.1) | 153.7 (-19.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -12.2 (-0.2) | 153.0 (-19.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -13.2 (-1.2) | 153.8 (-19.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#21) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#31) | 0.79 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#27) | 0.68 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#63) | 0.567 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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