Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA +110 COLO -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -1.2 (+5.2) | 133.8 (-9.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -0.7 (+4.7) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -0.5 (+4.5) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -1.2 (+5.2) | 135.9 (-11.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UCLA 73 – 61 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#99) | 12.5 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#117) | 1.65 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#113) | 2.19 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#130) | 0.578 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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