Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | COLO +225 UCLA -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +4 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -6.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.7 (+0.7) | 131.6 (-15.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -5.1 (+1.1) | 135.6 (-19.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -5.0 (+1.0) | 135.7 (-19.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.9 (+0.9) | 136.8 (-20.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Mar 9, 2023 | UCLA 80 – 69 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UCLA 73 – 61 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 13-5 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 60.7 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#60) | 19.0 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#108) | 2.98 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#88) | 3.56 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#94) | 0.627 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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