Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | UCLA -440 COLO +335 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -9.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -7.8 (+3.2) | 131.1 (+17.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -9.5 (+1.5) | 133.2 (+15.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -9.0 (+2.0) | 133.0 (+16.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -8.4 (+2.6) | 134.0 (+15.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCLA 64 – 60 COLO |
| Feb 26, 2023 | UCLA 60 – 56 COLO |
| Jan 15, 2023 | UCLA 68 – 54 COLO |
| Jan 23, 2022 | UCLA 71 – 65 COLO |
| Dec 2, 2021 | UCLA 73 – 61 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 17-0 | 13-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#4) | 9.3 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#6) | 0.91 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#6) | 1.39 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#7) | 0.548 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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