All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
Sun Belt Conference · Cam Henderson Center · January 15, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread MRSH -9.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money MRSH -400 / ODU +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRSH win
Actual MRSH +8 138 Won
Massey MRSH -13.2 (-5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 144.1 (-6.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -11.5 (-3.5) 143.6 (-5.6) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRSH -9.0 (-1.0) 143.9 (-5.9) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -10.8 (-2.8) 143.6 (-5.6) 86% ✓
Baseline ML MRSH -11.1 (-3.1) 142.8 (-4.8) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MRSH 97 – 88 ODU
Feb 12, 2026 MRSH 81 – 79 ODU
Feb 26, 2025 MRSH 83 – 66 ODU
Feb 20, 2025 MRSH 81 – 77 ODU
Feb 2, 2024 ODU 83 – 76 MRSH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRSH ODU
Overall 24-8 19-12
Conference 13-5 11-7
Home 15-2 12-4
Away 9-5 6-5
Neutral 0-1 1-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 81.2 66.7
Avg Pts Against 71.2 66.5
Massey 9.3 (#51) 0.1 (#168)
Bradley-Terry 1.04 (#86) 0.27 (#153)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.52 (#77) 0.51 (#135)
RPI 0.558 (#78) 0.525 (#135)
Shooting & Four Factors MRSH ODU
FG% 46.5% 42.5%
3PT% 31.7% 33.6%
REB / G 42.4 38.1
OREB / G 14.6 13.1
AST / TO 1.68 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 47.0%
TOV% 15.7% 16.0%
ORB% 36.7% 34.7%
FT Rate 13.1% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 18.8%
DRB% 68.4% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 15.2% 23.4%

Game Analysis

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