Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -333 GASO +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -14.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -9.5 (+2.5) | 139.3 (+14.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -9.5 (+2.5) | 138.5 (+15.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -10.3 (+1.7) | 139.8 (+14.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -10.4 (+1.6) | 139.5 (+14.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GASO 96 – 92 JMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JMU 78 – 73 GASO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JMU 77 – 72 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JMU 80 – 74 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#66) | -2.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#178) | 0.10 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#128) | -0.04 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#197) | 0.509 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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