The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
Sun Belt Conference · Jack and Ruth Ann Hill Convocation Center · February 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread JMU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money GASO +150 / JMU -175
Model Predictions
Spread Total GASO win
Actual JMU +5 149 Lost
Massey JMU -3.5 (-1.5)
Massey Totals 148.8 (+0.2)
Bradley-Terry 37%
Weighted B-T 27%
Baseline Plus ML JMU -3.1 (-1.9) 144.7 (+4.3) 37%
Model 4 ML JMU -3.8 (-1.2) 144.2 (+4.8) 36%
Model 3 ML JMU -2.8 (-2.2) 143.6 (+5.4) 39%
Baseline ML JMU -2.6 (-2.4) 144.5 (+4.5) 37%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 JMU 8266 GASO
Dec 20, 2025 GASO 9692 JMU
Feb 22, 2025 JMU 7873 GASO
Feb 24, 2024 JMU 8074 GASO
Feb 17, 2024 JMU 8780 GASO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GASO JMU
Overall 17-16 20-12
Conference 8-10 13-5
Home 11-3 13-2
Away 4-11 5-8
Neutral 2-2 2-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 74.1 72.3
Avg Pts Against 76.1 71.3
Massey -6.0 (#261) 0.6 (#151)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#225) 0.52 (#128)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#246) 0.54 (#133)
RPI 0.480 (#214) 0.555 (#76)
Shooting & Four Factors GASO JMU
FG% 42.9% 43.1%
3PT% 34.2% 34.7%
REB / G 37.0 34.9
OREB / G 12.8 10.8
AST / TO 0.93 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.5% 50.8%
TOV% 19.5% 17.5%
ORB% 32.6% 31.5%
FT Rate 17.8% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 15.2%
DRB% 66.6% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 32.7% 22.0%

Game Analysis

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