Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +150 JMU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -3.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -2.8 (-2.2) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -3.8 (-1.2) | 144.2 (+4.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -3.1 (-1.9) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -2.6 (-2.4) | 144.5 (+4.5) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GASO 96 – 92 JMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JMU 78 – 73 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JMU 80 – 74 GASO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | JMU 87 – 80 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#261) | 0.6 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#225) | 0.52 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#246) | 0.54 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#214) | 0.555 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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