Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -8000 GASO +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -22.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -18.6 (-11.6) | 153.6 (+13.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -17.4 (-10.4) | 156.2 (+10.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -20.4 (-13.4) | 156.2 (+10.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -20.1 (-13.1) | 154.9 (+12.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GASO 96 – 92 JMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JMU 78 – 73 GASO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JMU 77 – 72 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JMU 80 – 74 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 9-24 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 12-2 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#57) | -9.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#44) | -2.07 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#54) | -2.03 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#85) | 0.390 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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