And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Sun Belt Conference · Atlantic Union Bank Center · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread JMU -19.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money JMU -8000 / GASO +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total JMU win
Actual JMU +7 167 Won
Massey JMU -22.6 (-15.6)
Massey Totals 156.5 (+10.5)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML JMU -20.4 (-13.4) 156.2 (+10.8) 91%
Model 4 ML JMU -17.4 (-10.4) 156.2 (+10.8) 90%
Model 3 ML JMU -18.6 (-11.6) 153.6 (+13.4) 91%
Baseline ML JMU -20.1 (-13.1) 154.9 (+12.1) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 JMU 8266 GASO
Dec 20, 2025 GASO 9692 JMU
Feb 22, 2025 JMU 7873 GASO
Feb 14, 2025 JMU 7772 GASO
Feb 24, 2024 JMU 8074 GASO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JMU GASO
Overall 32-4 9-24
Conference 15-3 8-10
Home 14-1 6-7
Away 12-2 2-14
Neutral 6-1 1-3
Last 5 5-0 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 81.9 73.3
Avg Pts Against 69.9 79.2
Massey 9.8 (#57) -9.4 (#314)
Bradley-Terry 1.93 (#44) -2.07 (#334)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.13 (#54) -2.03 (#315)
RPI 0.557 (#85) 0.390 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors JMU GASO
FG% 47.0% 41.7%
3PT% 34.8% 34.4%
REB / G 38.4 33.3
OREB / G 11.6 10.4
AST / TO 1.53 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.6% 49.8%
TOV% 14.8% 19.1%
ORB% 31.8% 28.3%
FT Rate 22.2% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 20.7% 17.8%
DRB% 72.5% 64.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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