Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +550 JMU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -15.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -14.0 (+8.0) | 154.7 (-0.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -12.6 (+6.6) | 156.6 (-2.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -14.2 (+8.2) | 156.5 (-2.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -12.7 (+6.7) | 156.1 (-2.1) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GASO 96 – 92 JMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JMU 78 – 73 GASO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JMU 77 – 72 GASO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | JMU 87 – 80 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 32-4 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-14 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#308) | 9.9 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#327) | 1.99 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#306) | 2.21 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#331) | 0.558 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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