Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | JMU -600 GASO +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +5 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -9.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -9.8 (-4.8) | 147.3 (+3.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -12.6 (-7.6) | 148.7 (+2.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -8.9 (-3.9) | 146.9 (+4.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -8.8 (-3.8) | 147.3 (+3.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Dec 20, 2025 | GASO 96 – 92 JMU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JMU 77 – 72 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JMU 80 – 74 GASO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | JMU 87 – 80 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#148) | -6.0 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#122) | -0.63 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#126) | -1.08 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#54) | 0.482 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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