Betting Lines
| Spread | GASO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | GASO -148 JMU +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +4 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | GASO -4.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GASO -3.0 (+1.0) | 150.0 (+38.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GASO -2.7 (+1.3) | 152.1 (+35.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GASO -2.8 (+1.2) | 153.7 (+34.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GASO -3.6 (+0.4) | 152.2 (+35.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | JMU 82 – 66 GASO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JMU 78 – 73 GASO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JMU 77 – 72 GASO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | JMU 80 – 74 GASO |
| Feb 17, 2024 | JMU 87 – 80 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#227) | -4.0 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#214) | -0.14 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#244) | -0.32 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#254) | 0.472 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 33.7% |
Game Analysis
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