Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +180 SIE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -3.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -4.6 (+8.6) | 138.1 (-10.1) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.9 (+6.9) | 134.8 (-6.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -4.2 (+8.2) | 139.8 (-11.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -4.1 (+8.1) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#279) | 1.0 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#331) | 0.71 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#322) | 0.72 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#296) | 0.532 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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