I don't know why I let that mean woman make me a fool. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Metro Conference · MVP Arena · February 18, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread CAN -5.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money SIE +210 / CAN -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total SIE win
Actual CAN +9 137 Lost
Massey CAN -8.2 (-0.8) — —
Massey Totals — 136.6 (+0.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 30% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CAN -7.6 (-1.4) 135.6 (+1.4) 25% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CAN -6.7 (-2.3) 135.4 (+1.6) 23% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CAN -7.0 (-2.0) 134.6 (+2.4) 27% ✓
Baseline ML CAN -6.7 (-2.3) 134.5 (+2.5) 27% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 SIE 78 – 63 CAN
Dec 7, 2025 SIE 74 – 52 CAN
Feb 23, 2025 CAN 93 – 88 SIE
Dec 8, 2024 SIE 66 – 53 CAN
Jan 13, 2024 CAN 67 – 63 SIE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SIE CAN
Overall 4-28 14-18
Conference 3-17 8-12
Home 2-12 8-4
Away 2-13 3-12
Neutral 0-3 3-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 60.4 69.1
Avg Pts Against 74.4 72.2
Massey -16.7 (#359) -5.1 (#263)
Bradley-Terry -2.43 (#343) -0.94 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.17 (#347) -1.14 (#266)
RPI 0.405 (#330) 0.468 (#234)
Shooting & Four Factors SIE CAN
FG% 39.6% 43.4%
3PT% 27.2% 33.7%
REB / G 36.0 36.1
OREB / G 12.1 11.6
AST / TO 0.63 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.2% 49.6%
TOV% 24.4% 19.7%
ORB% 33.7% 32.4%
FT Rate 20.7% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 51.7%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 16.2%
DRB% 67.4% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.2% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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