Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SIE +210 CAN -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -8.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -6.7 (-2.3) | 135.4 (+1.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -7.0 (-2.0) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -6.7 (-2.3) | 134.5 (+2.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -7.6 (-1.4) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CAN 67 – 63 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 2-12 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#359) | -5.1 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#343) | -0.94 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#347) | -1.14 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#330) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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