Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CAN +155 SIE -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +13 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -6.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -8.1 (-4.9) | 136.1 (-17.1) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -5.8 (-7.2) | 134.6 (-15.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -8.0 (-5.0) | 137.1 (-18.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -9.1 (-3.9) | 138.6 (-19.6) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CAN 67 – 63 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 1-12 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#355) | -4.4 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.61 (#361) | 0.04 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.04 (#361) | -0.01 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#354) | 0.500 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.5% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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