Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -2100 CAN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -22.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -15.6 (+6.4) | 127.3 (-1.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -13.9 (+8.1) | 127.5 (-1.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -16.3 (+5.7) | 125.3 (+0.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -15.7 (+6.3) | 125.6 (+0.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CAN 67 – 63 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#145) | -16.3 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#104) | -1.53 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#116) | -3.35 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#151) | 0.457 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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