Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -900 CAN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +5 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -15.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -14.3 (-19.3) | 143.4 (+37.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -11.0 (-16.0) | 145.8 (+35.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -12.7 (-17.7) | 143.9 (+37.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -13.5 (-18.5) | 142.9 (+38.1) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CAN 67 – 63 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-5 | 1-12 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#222) | -15.7 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#226) | -3.08 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#217) | -3.45 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#191) | 0.401 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 25.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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