Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CAN -500 SIE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | CAN -23.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -16.0 (-12.0) | 143.2 (-13.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -14.0 (-10.0) | 142.8 (-12.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -16.2 (-12.2) | 142.8 (-12.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -16.7 (-12.7) | 142.6 (-12.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SIE 78 – 63 CAN |
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 8-4 | 2-12 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#150) | -18.6 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#201) | -2.61 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#187) | -3.58 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#162) | 0.367 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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