Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CAN +340 SIE -440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +15 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -9.6 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -8.7 (-6.3) | 131.4 (+9.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -9.3 (-5.7) | 131.0 (+10.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -8.1 (-6.9) | 132.6 (+8.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -7.8 (-7.2) | 133.0 (+8.0) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | SIE 74 – 52 CAN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CAN 93 – 88 SIE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | SIE 66 – 53 CAN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CAN 73 – 64 SIE |
| Jan 13, 2024 | CAN 67 – 63 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -13.9 (#347) | -1.2 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#306) | -0.21 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#308) | -0.29 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#288) | 0.501 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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