Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -7.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -6.4 (-7.4) | 147.3 (+15.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -6.6 (-7.6) | 145.5 (+17.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -6.6 (-7.6) | 147.8 (+15.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -6.7 (-7.7) | 148.6 (+14.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CSU 91 – 86 UNLV |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CSU 70 – 62 UNLV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CSU 61 – 53 UNLV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CSU 84 – 62 UNLV |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UNLV 66 – 60 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#77) | 3.6 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#52) | 0.18 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#52) | 0.17 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#29) | 0.517 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 5.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 16.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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