Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -115 CSU -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -2.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.7 (+6.7) | 136.0 (-10.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -1.2 (+7.2) | 133.4 (-7.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -0.4 (+6.4) | 135.5 (-9.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -0.6 (+6.6) | 135.5 (-9.5) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CSU 91 – 86 UNLV |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CSU 70 – 62 UNLV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | CSU 61 – 53 UNLV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CSU 84 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CSU 78 – 75 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#86) | 12.9 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#88) | 2.30 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#98) | 2.94 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#61) | 0.614 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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