Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV +110 CSU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +8 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -0.8 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.2 (-7.8) | 138.9 (-24.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -0.1 (-8.1) | 136.4 (-22.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -0.0 (-8.0) | 137.9 (-23.9) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -0.6 (-8.6) | 139.1 (-25.1) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | CSU 91 – 86 UNLV |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CSU 70 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CSU 84 – 62 UNLV |
| Feb 25, 2024 | UNLV 66 – 60 CSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CSU 78 – 75 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-4 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#99) | 8.6 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#97) | 1.51 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#85) | 1.87 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#110) | 0.553 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.