Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +25 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SHSU -5.2 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -4.4 (-20.6) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -5.4 (-19.6) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -4.5 (-20.5) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -4.3 (-20.7) | 143.9 (-12.9) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | SHSU 77 – 53 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#176) | 9.0 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#199) | 1.44 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#209) | 1.67 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#190) | 0.578 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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