Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | SHSU -420 UTU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +24 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -8.8 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -6.4 (+17.6) | 141.4 (-11.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -8.8 (+15.2) | 139.8 (-9.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -7.0 (+17.0) | 141.6 (-11.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -6.7 (+17.3) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2023 | SHSU 78 – 53 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#182) | -6.3 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#179) | -0.75 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#192) | -1.07 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#155) | 0.469 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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