Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -700 VMI +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -11.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -9.6 (+9.4) | 139.4 (+13.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -9.3 (+9.7) | 139.2 (+13.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -8.8 (+10.2) | 142.6 (+10.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -8.9 (+10.1) | 142.1 (+10.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#224) | -9.8 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#213) | -2.30 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#227) | -2.85 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#231) | 0.394 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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