Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | VMI +210 WOF -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +39 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -4.0 (-35.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.1 (-34.9) | 141.7 (-16.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -2.5 (-36.5) | 140.1 (-15.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -2.5 (-36.5) | 142.5 (-17.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -2.8 (-36.2) | 141.3 (-16.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WOF 74 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#286) | -0.2 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#274) | -0.03 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#250) | 0.16 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#261) | 0.523 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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