Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WOF -1000 VMI +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -12.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -10.4 (-17.4) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -10.6 (-17.6) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -10.0 (-17.0) | 142.1 (-1.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -10.7 (-17.7) | 141.7 (-0.7) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | WOF 82 – 76 VMI |
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WOF 74 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#146) | -8.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#163) | -1.69 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#136) | -1.71 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#122) | 0.423 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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