Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -1350 VMI +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -16.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -12.6 (-6.6) | 152.1 (+5.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -14.1 (-8.1) | 151.2 (+6.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -14.1 (-8.1) | 151.2 (+6.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -12.7 (-6.7) | 153.6 (+4.4) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | WOF 81 – 67 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WOF 85 – 65 VMI |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WOF 82 – 43 VMI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VMI 74 – 67 WOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WOF 74 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 9-7 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#231) | -18.1 (#358) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#197) | -2.98 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#219) | -3.59 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#193) | 0.368 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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